The models and trackers behind the research, free to download and edit. No black boxes — every assumption is a cell you can change. Updated as each data release lands.
Now a live tool rather than a download. Type any ticker to pull its financials, then run P/E, DCF and ROE valuations side by side with every assumption editable — plus a reverse-DCF that tells you what growth the current price already implies. Runs in the browser; nothing to install.
Monthly Report On Business tracker: headline and every sub-index, the 17-industry growth/contraction rankings, a sub-index heatmap, a sector and stock map, and the long/short signals the framework derives. One editable data file regenerates the dashboard, tracker and playbook each month.
The six workbooks behind the composite regime score — growth, labour, rates, credit, breadth and volatility — with the pre-set trigger rules that flip each signal, and a FRED-linked data tab. This is what gets refreshed to produce the monthly report.
The three macro models — Building Permits Regime Change Forecaster, Macro Stock Market Health Composite and PMI + Sentiment Cycle Buy — read their economic series independently of the chart symbol, so they overlay the same regime read on any market.
TradingView · coming soon How they work →
For educational purposes only. These models embed my own assumptions and are not investment advice. Verify all data against primary sources before using it to make decisions.
New model versions and refreshed data go out with the monthly report.